Economy & welfare

Business grants

So Alistair Darling gave £4bn to small businesses that are in financial difficulty in his budget last week. Sounds good for small businesses, doesn't it? But wait.

1. Whose money is it that he is giving away? Some of it is small business's money, I think, and a lot of the rest comes from the average tax payer. So the Chancellor is taking taxes from the businesses that are doing well and giving it to those that are doing badly, so that in many cases, they can waste the money all over again.

Arguments against BI+FT

"We can't afford it"

The usual argument against BI is that we couldn't afford it, but that is because people assume that the whole of a Basic Income would have to be paid to each person, and also because they assume it will continue to be partnered with a "progressive" taxation system roughly similar to what we have now.

BI & housing costs

The BI should include a component for housing. This would be a standardised amount across the country, regardless of different housing costs in different areas, to try to counter the inflationary effect of the gravitational pull of metropolitan areas.

BI & further education

After they have achieved the necessary educational standard and gained control of their BI, young adults wishing to stay in education (academic or vocational) can use the part of their BI that is earmarked for education to contribute to the ongoing costs.

Supporting good parenting

A small proportion (£100?) of each parent's BI should be earmarked as dedicated to the upkeep of each child.

If a child is taken into care, or moved from the care of one parent to another, not only should the child's BI transfer to the carer, but that small proportion of the failing parent's BI should too.

Children's BI before school

In the months after birth, the child's BI could be used by the parent/carer towards the cost of childcare (for instance if both parents return to work), or for supplementary income and support (for those who decide to quit work to bring up the child), or to pay employers to keep a job open (for those wanting temporary leave for the first few months).

Setting the Basic Income

We estimate that, without the changes that require some uplift, the Basic Income (BI) rates would have to have been set at around £5,000 per person per year, plus a £1,750/year single-person supplement, to roughly match those parts of the current welfare system that the BI is replacing.

Proposals

Most of our proposals under the various policy headings have impacts on the economy, individual wellbeing, and the government budget. We are confident that the net effect is a significant benefit to the economy and reduction in the bureaucratic overhead, relative not only to the current hole we are in, but also to the insufficient and often counterproductive proposals of the mainstream parties.

Our pensions time-bomb

Antonia Senior in the Times today reports that every U.K.household owes £47,000 to public sector workers:

'If everyone (else) carries on as if nothing is wrong, and as if there is not a giant pension shaped bomb tick-tocking away at the heart of our financial system, we can delude ourselves its all going to be OK. The Emperor is wearing Prada, and all our demographic nightmares will be solved by wishing hard enough'.

If you look in the pub, the restaurant, the train, everyone is carrying on just the same. They don't believe that there is really a massive financial crisis around the corner. 60% of people believe that we can get out of the government's borrowing hole without making any cuts to front-line services.

A rock and a hard place

From the CBI monthly trends survey:

'Output prices are expected to rise among manufacturers over the next 3 months, despite signs that domestic orders remain muted and that output growth remains modest'.

Either manufacturers are kidding themselves about recovering price increases from their customers, in which case their profits will be worse than expected or have we got Stagflation coming? My company is not obtaining any price increases.

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